Microsoft still has a massive Windows 10 problem – and there’s no easy way out

In less than six months, Microsoft’s Windows 10, a cornerstone of personal and business computing since its launch in July 2015, will reach its end-of-support date. This marks a significant transition for users who have embraced the operating system, which has maintained its popularity even after the introduction of Windows 11 over three years ago. However, the challenge now lies in persuading the vast user base to migrate to the newer platform.

Understanding the Transition

Windows 10 adheres to a standard 10-year support lifecycle, which means that most editions—including Home, Pro, and Enterprise—will cease to receive updates on October 14, 2025. While it may seem alarming, the reality is that PCs running Windows 10 will continue to function as usual post-deadline. However, without security updates, these systems will become increasingly vulnerable to cyber threats.

For those who own Windows 10 Enterprise Long Term Servicing editions, there are exceptions. The 2015 Long Term Servicing Branch will also end support on October 14, 2025, while later versions will have different end dates, extending support for some until 2029. This complexity adds another layer to the migration conversation.

The Current Landscape

Recent data from the US government’s Digital Analytics Program indicates a concerning trend: approximately 1.6% of Windows 10 PCs are being replaced by Windows 11 each month. If this pace continues, it is projected that around 35% of the 1.4 billion Windows devices will still be operating on Windows 10 when the end-of-support date arrives. This translates to over 500 million PCs potentially exposed to unpatched vulnerabilities.

StatCounter’s metrics suggest that as of April 2025, around 54% of PCs globally are still running Windows 10. While there are debates about the accuracy of these figures, they reinforce the notion that a significant number of users will be left without support come October 2025.

Who Will Remain on Windows 10?

  • Users with incompatible hardware: Many older PCs, particularly those designed before 2018, do not meet the minimum requirements for Windows 11, leaving their owners with limited options.
  • Corporate environments: Numerous enterprises have standardized on Windows 10 and may not be ready for a full migration to Windows 11, opting instead for a gradual upgrade cycle.
  • Die-hard Windows 10 fans: A vocal segment of users expresses dissatisfaction with the changes introduced in Windows 11, leading some to resist upgrading.

Future Considerations

As Microsoft approaches the end-of-support date, the company faces the potential fallout of a large number of unsupported PCs. The history of vulnerabilities like WannaCry serves as a reminder of the risks associated with outdated software. While Microsoft has offered options for extended support, particularly for enterprise customers, the likelihood of widespread adoption among consumers remains low.

For those unable or unwilling to upgrade, alternatives include switching to non-Microsoft operating systems or continuing to use Windows 10 without official support. However, this path carries inherent risks, as users may find themselves increasingly exposed to security threats.

As the deadline looms, the conversation around Windows 10’s legacy and the transition to Windows 11 will undoubtedly shape the future of personal computing, with implications for both users and Microsoft alike.

Winsage
Microsoft still has a massive Windows 10 problem - and there's no easy way out