Operating a multi-trillion-dollar enterprise like Microsoft for five decades is a monumental challenge, fraught with obstacles and missteps. Among the notable admissions from CEO Satya Nadella is the acknowledgment of a significant strategic error: the decision to discontinue the Windows Phone during its peak popularity. Nadella reflected on the potential alternatives that could have been pursued instead of dismantling the mobile division.
Bill Gates, co-founder of Microsoft, has also publicly recognized what he considers his greatest miscalculation during his tenure as CEO—the failure to dominate the mobile space, which ultimately fell to Android. In a 2019 discussion with venture capital firm Village Global, Gates stated:
The greatest mistake of all time is the mismanagement I engaged in that caused Microsoft not to be what Android is.
— Bill Gates
Despite its reputation as a leading software development company, as evidenced by its robust earnings reports, Gates believes that creating an operating system akin to Android was a natural opportunity for Microsoft to capitalize on. He attributes the company’s missed chance to a combination of his own mismanagement and antitrust challenges that hindered Microsoft’s growth trajectory. This allowed Google to gain a competitive edge, acquiring Android in 2005 and launching its first device in 2008. Today, Android reigns as the world’s most popular operating system, celebrated for its versatility and extensive customization options.
Was Microsoft’s Android fumble Bill Gates’ fault?
Recently, Gates faced criticism from Rich Miner, co-founder of Android, who suggested that Gates’ lamentations over Microsoft’s mobile missteps were misplaced. Miner, who played a role in developing Android to counteract Microsoft’s dominance in the PC market, remarked:
So, sorry, Bill, you’re more responsible for losing the 0B than you realize.
Gates concedes that had it not been for his mismanagement, Microsoft could have seized the opportunity presented by Android, positioning the company as a leader in the mobile sector. He elaborated on the competitive nature of the software market, particularly for platforms, stating:
You know, in the software world, in particular for platforms, these are winner-take-all markets. The greatest mistake ever is the whatever mismanagement I engaged in that caused Microsoft not to be what Android is. If you’re there with half as many apps or 90% as many apps, you’re on your way to complete doom.
With Android commanding a substantial 45.53% of the market share compared to Windows’ 25.36%, as reported by StatCounter, the question remains whether Microsoft can bridge this gap, especially as the end of support for Windows 10 looms and dissatisfaction with Windows 11 continues to rise.